Sox finally notch a win …

Stephen Drew and Dustin Pedroia are carrying the load. In the last two weeks:

Rk G AB R H 2B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
1 Dustin Pedroia 12 48 8 19 4 1 5 5 6 .396 .453 .542 .994
2 Stephen Drew 11 39 4 13 3 2 9 5 10 .333 .409 .564 .973
Team Total 124 410 45 101 27 13 45 36 93 .246 .311 .412 .723
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2013.

If only we could clone these two.

40 games into the season (hard to believe that the 2013 season is nearly 25% complete), here is how the 2013 Sox compare to other teams in the century:

Year Record thru 40 Run differential Season Total Finished
2002    29-11 89 93-69 2
2007    28-12 77 96-66 1 – WS
2003    26-14 32 95-67 2 – Wildcard
2006    25-15 31 86-76 3
2000    25-15 85 85-77 2
2008    24-16 31 95-67 2 – Wildcard
2004    24-16 37 98-64 2 – WS
2009    24-16 24 95-67 2 – Wildcard
2001    23-17 58 82-79 2
2005    23-17 30 95-67 2 – Wildcard
2013    23-17 25
2011    20-20 -6 90-72 3
2010    20-20 -8 89-73 3
2012    19-21 13 69-93 5

Does this tell us anything? No. Just thought it would be nice to see how this start stacks up.

The Sox rank last in OBP by third basemen:

  • Sox .245 (Middlebrooks)(24 years old)
  • Astros .259 (Dominguez)(23)
  • Jays .268 (Lawrie)(23)
  • Royals .272 (Moustakas)(24)
  • White Sox .287 (Gillaspie)(25)

Bill James’ Total Runs stat has these guys ranked like this:

  • Moustakas : 11
  • Middlebrooks : 13
  • Lawrie : 17
  • Dominguez : 20
  • Gillaspie : 21

To put this in perspective, so far this season Manny Machado has a total runs scored value of 44, Evan Longoria is at 40, Miguel Cabrera is at 39, and Jayson Nix, playing third for the Yankees, has a value of 18. Will Middelbrooks is a big problem for the Red Sox, even with his double and homer from last night. Is the guy we want at third base for the next five years? I think not, but I don’t see that he Sox have any immediate alternative. How can the Red Sox brain trust have let this happen? Where was Bill James?

Should John Farrell give Ciriaco some more time at third? In 100 fewer ABs Ciriaco has drawn 1 more walk then Middlebrooks. This is not to say I want Ciriaco at third, it just shows you how bad Middlebrooks has been. I guess I need to accept that Middlebrooks is our next Butch Hobson. That is not a comforting thought.

* * *

Let’s try a troubling “Guess the player”:

Player A 150 AB at leadoff, .253/.323/.387, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 20 RS

Player B 189 AB at leadoff, .256/.323/.360, 1 HR, 13 RBI, 23 RS

Player A makes 2.85 million and is a free agent in 2015. Player B makes 9 million and is up for free agency. Would you pay either of these guys 15 million a year for five years?

Player A is Brett Gardner

Player B is Jacoby Ellsbury

Scott Boras is going to have a difficult time selling this picture. There is a 0% chance Ellsbury returns to the Sox in 2014.

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